If Gainey thinks they wont make the playoffs, this trade will NOT happen and I agree completely with your second point. They are still building for a contender and having a salary like the one Forsberg could command would certainly hamper their chances. As stated above, Souray will be on the move if this team drops out of contention which very well may happen if recent history continues.
None the less Jakis, the future is very bright in MTL.....certainly brighter than anything the Leafs have to offer you fucking little afro-boy.